David Rodeback's Blog

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Primaries: After South Carolina and Nevada

Here's an update of cumulative Primary results after today's Republican primary in South Carolina and today's Nevada caucuses (for both parties). Note that I am relying on TheGreenPapers.com again, and that most of these delegates are actually "soft" to one degree or another -- as in, not absolutely committed to a given candidate.

For earlier results, including a reasonably detailed account of the process's complexity, see my previous report.

Saturday, January 19: South Carolina Primary (Republican only)

This is an open primary, meaning non-Republicans can vote. Note that the national party's penalty for an early primary applies; South Carolina's Republican delegate total is half what it would have been. (This could could be overturned.) The South Carolina Democratic primary is next Saturday, January 26.

Republicans:

1. John McCain (18 delegates)
2. Mike Huckabee (6 delegates)  

Saturday, January 19: Nevada Caucuses 

Both parties' caucuses are closed. Because final selection of delegates happens in a later convention, neither Nevada party is penalized for holding its caucus before February 5.

Republicans:

1. Mitt Romney (17 delegates)
2. John McCain (4 delegates)
3. Ron Paul (4 delegates)
4. Mike Huckabee (3 delegates)
5. Fred Thompson (3 delegates)
6. Available (3 delegates)

Democrats:

1. Barack Obama (13 delegates)
2. Hillary Clinton (12 delegates)
3. available (8 delegates)

Running Totals after Saturday, January 19

Republicans:

• Mitt Romney: 49
• John McCain: 43
• Mike Huckabee: 26
• Fred Thompson: 11
• Ron Paul: 8
• Rudy Giuliani: 1
• Duncan Hunter: 1
• available: 15

Democrats:

• Barack Obama: 38
• Hillary Clinton: 36
• John Edwards: 18
• available: 20 

Coming Up Next

Saturday, January 26: South Carolina (primary, Democrats only)
Tuesday, January 29: Florida (primaries, both parties)
Friday, February 1: Maine (caucus, Republicans only)
Tuesday, February 5, "Super Tuesday": 22 states and "Democrats Abroad" (Democrats) and 21 states (Republicans)

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